Actuarial Modeling of Chronic Disease Progression: Impact on Long-Term Indian Health Policy Premiums and Reserves
Table of Contents Introduction to Chronic Disease Burden in India and Actuarial Relevance Key Chronic Diseases and Their Progression Dynamics Actuarial Modeling Methodologies for Disease Progression Data Requirements and Challenges in Indian Context Impact on Health Insurance Premiums Implications for Actuarial Reserves Scenario Analysis and Sensitivity Testing Regulatory Considerations and Future Trends Introduction to Chronic Disease Burden in India and Actuarial Relevance The escalating prevalence of non-communicable diseases (NCDs) in India presents a significant challenge to public health systems and the private health insurance sector. Conditions such as cardiovascular diseases, diabetes, respiratory illnesses, and certain cancers are characterized by long latency periods, chronic management, and progressive deterioration of health. For actuaries tasked with pricing health insurance policies and establishing adequate reserves, understanding and qua...